Live aurora forecast
Northern lights in Kiel tonight and this season
Aurora probability over Kiel right now from NOAA, the Kp index the city needs by geomagnetic latitude, the nights that get dark enough, calculated from the sun, and whether any guided tour passes the catalogue filter.
In short
Northern lights in Kiel need a Kp index of 6 or more, because the city sits at 54.4° N geomagnetic latitude and NOAA's rule of thumb puts the edge of the auroral oval at about 66° for Kp 0, 2° closer to the equator per Kp level. Fully dark nights in Kiel (sun 18° below the horizon) run from 3 August to 9 May. No guided aurora tour from Kiel passes the catalogue filter of 4.3 stars and 20 reviews yet. The aurora probability over the city right now, from NOAA's OVATION model, is on this page and refreshes every 15 minutes.
Key points
- Kp needed in Kiel: 6 or more, from 54.4° N geomagnetic latitude (WMM2025 dipole)
- Fully dark nights in Kiel (sun 18° below the horizon) run from 3 August to 9 May.
- Aurora probability over Kiel from NOAA OVATION, refreshed every 15 minutes with the fetch time shown
- No guided aurora tour in the catalogue passes the filter yet
- Kp forecast for the next 3 days in 3-hour slots, from NOAA SWPC
On this page
1Aurora over Kiel right now
Data: NOAA SWPC, fetched 14:10 UTC. Aurora probability by destination from the NOAA OVATION model, forecast for 9 Oct, 15:10 UTC. Aurora also needs a dark and clear sky. Kp needed: NOAA puts the edge of the auroral oval at about 66° geomagnetic latitude for Kp 0, 2° closer to the equator per Kp level. Geomagnetic latitude from the WMM2025 dipole pole (NOAA NCEI).
2The Kp index Kiel needs
Kiel lies at 54.3° N, which is 54.4° N geomagnetic latitude on the WMM2025 dipole. NOAA's viewing tips put the edge of the auroral oval at about 66° geomagnetic for Kp 0 and move it about 2° closer to the equator with each Kp level, down to 48° at Kp 9. So the oval reaches Kiel from Kp 6, the threshold the cards on this site compare with the Kp measured right now. NOAA also notes that aurora can often be observed hundreds of kilometres equatorward of the oval's edge, so a bright display can show low on the northern horizon one Kp level earlier.
3Kp forecast for the next 3 days
| UTC | Fri 9 Oct | Sat 10 Oct | Sun 11 Oct | Mon 12 Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00-03 | 4.00 | 4.67 G1 | 3.00 | |
| 03-06 | 3.67 | 5.67 G2 | ||
| 06-09 | 3.00 | 4.33 | ||
| 09-12 | 3.00 | 3.00 | ||
| 12-15 | 4.67 G1 | 1.67 | 2.67 | |
| 15-18 | 5.00 G1 | 2.33 | 2.33 | |
| 18-21 | 6.00 G2 | 2.67 | 2.00 | |
| 21-00 | 5.67 G2 | 2.67 | 2.67 |
Data: NOAA SWPC. Slots before now are NOAA estimates, the rest are predicted values.
4When the sky over Kiel is dark enough
The aurora needs a dark sky as much as it needs Kp, and darkness is a matter of latitude and date. Fully dark nights in Kiel (sun 18° below the horizon) run from 3 August to 9 May. Dates are an own calculation from the sun's declination for the latitude of Kiel, with the US Naval Observatory definitions of twilight, and can be a day off at the edges. Clouds and moonlight are the other half of the question: the home page shows the moon phase for each of the next 27 days.
5Why Germany for the northern lights
Germany sees the aurora only during geomagnetic storms. Kiel on the Baltic coast needs Kp 6, and the display is usually a red or pink glow low on the northern horizon rather than curtains overhead. The storms of May 2024 and October 2024 pushed the oval over Germany, which is why the live Kp on this page matters more than the season.
6Kiel on the Kp scale
Kiel is the only place in Germany on this site. The Locations page ranks all 33 destinations by the Kp they need, from Kp 1 inside the auroral zone to Kp 9 at the edge of NOAA's rule.
7Northern lights tours in Kiel
No guided aurora tour from Kiel passes the catalogue filter of 4.3 stars and 20 reviews yet. The aurora probability above does not depend on tours: a dark spot outside the lights of the town is the first thing to find.
| Fact | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Coordinates | 54.3° N, 10.1° E | site destination list |
| Geomagnetic latitude | 54.4° N (WMM2025) | NOAA NCEI, own calculation |
| Kp needed | 6+ | NOAA rule of thumb |
| Fully dark nights | 3 August to 9 May | own calculation (Meeus), USNO definitions |
| Tours that pass the filter | none yet, counted 9 Oct 2026 | booking catalogue |
Source: NOAA NCEI, World Magnetic Model 2025, geomagnetic pole, checked on 9 Oct 2026.
Latest northern lights posts
Frequently asked questions
What Kp index do you need to see the northern lights in Kiel?
Kp 6 or more. Kiel sits at 54.4° N geomagnetic latitude, and NOAA's rule of thumb puts the edge of the auroral oval there from Kp 6. A brighter display can show low on the northern horizon one level earlier.
When is the best time to see the northern lights in Kiel?
Fully dark nights in Kiel (sun 18° below the horizon) run from 3 August to 9 May. The darkest skies of the month are the 5 nights around the new moon. The home page shows the moon for each of the next 27 days.
Can you see the northern lights in Kiel in summer?
Yes, the sky over Kiel gets dark enough every night of the year, so summer only shortens the window of darkness and Kp 6 or more is the real condition.
How many northern lights tours are there in Kiel?
None in the catalogue passes the filter of 4.3 stars and 20 reviews yet, so this page shows the probability and the Kp needed for Kiel without tours.
How does Kiel compare with other northern lights destinations?
Kiel is the only place in Germany on this site and needs Kp 6 or more. The Locations page ranks all 33 destinations by the Kp they need, from Kp 1 inside the auroral zone to Kp 9 at the edge of NOAA's rule.
Why does the Kiel aurora probability on this page change?
It comes from NOAA's OVATION model, a forecast for the next 30 to 90 minutes, which this site re-reads at most every 15 minutes. The Kp needed, 6, does not change: it is geography.
Sources (4)
Sources
- NOAA SWPC, tips on viewing the aurora, checked on 9 Oct 2026
- NOAA NCEI, World Magnetic Model 2025, geomagnetic pole, checked on 9 Oct 2026
- NOAA SWPC, OVATION aurora forecast model, checked on 9 Oct 2026
- US Naval Observatory, rise, set and twilight definitions, checked on 9 Oct 2026
Written and maintained by the Kp Forecast editorial team. Independent site, not a space weather agency. Data: NOAA SWPC.
Plan
Read next
Germany
Live aurora odds for 1 place in Germany, the Kp each one needs, the season, and the guided tours that pass the catalogue filter. Data: NOAA SWPC, …
Open →Locations
Thirty-three destinations from Svalbard to the Falkland Islands, grouped by country. Every card shows the aurora probability from the NOAA OVATION …
Open →Data and method
This site is an independent information service about the northern lights. It is not a space weather agency and does not belong to any public …
Open →