Live aurora forecast

Northern lights in Murmansk tonight and this season

Aurora probability over Murmansk right now from NOAA, the Kp index the city needs by geomagnetic latitude, the nights that get dark enough, calculated from the sun, and whether any guided tour passes the catalogue filter.

Updated on 9 Oct 20263 min read4 Sources

In short

Northern lights in Murmansk need a Kp index of 1 or more, because the city sits at 64.9° N geomagnetic latitude and NOAA's rule of thumb puts the edge of the auroral oval at about 66° for Kp 0, 2° closer to the equator per Kp level. Fully dark nights in Murmansk (sun 18° below the horizon) run from 15 September to 27 March. No guided aurora tour from Murmansk passes the catalogue filter of 4.3 stars and 20 reviews yet. The aurora probability over the city right now, from NOAA's OVATION model, is on this page and refreshes every 15 minutes.

Key points

  • Kp needed in Murmansk: 1 or more, from 64.9° N geomagnetic latitude (WMM2025 dipole)
  • Fully dark nights in Murmansk (sun 18° below the horizon) run from 15 September to 27 March.
  • Aurora probability over Murmansk from NOAA OVATION, refreshed every 15 minutes with the fetch time shown
  • No guided aurora tour in the catalogue passes the filter yet
  • Kp forecast for the next 3 days in 3-hour slots, from NOAA SWPC
On this page
  1. Aurora over Murmansk right now
  2. The Kp index Murmansk needs
  3. Kp forecast for the next 3 days
  4. When the sky over Murmansk is dark enough
  5. Why Russia for the northern lights
  6. Murmansk on the Kp scale
  7. Northern lights tours in Murmansk
  8. Frequently asked questions

1Aurora over Murmansk right now

Aurora probability over Murmansk2 %
Kp now4.00
Kp needed1+ 64.9° N geomagnetic
Max Kp 24 h6.00 G2

Data: NOAA SWPC, fetched 14:10 UTC. Aurora probability by destination from the NOAA OVATION model, forecast for 9 Oct, 15:10 UTC. Aurora also needs a dark and clear sky. Kp needed: NOAA puts the edge of the auroral oval at about 66° geomagnetic latitude for Kp 0, 2° closer to the equator per Kp level. Geomagnetic latitude from the WMM2025 dipole pole (NOAA NCEI).

2The Kp index Murmansk needs

Murmansk lies at 69.0° N, which is 64.9° N geomagnetic latitude on the WMM2025 dipole. NOAA's viewing tips put the edge of the auroral oval at about 66° geomagnetic for Kp 0 and move it about 2° closer to the equator with each Kp level, down to 48° at Kp 9. So the oval reaches Murmansk from Kp 1, the threshold the cards on this site compare with the Kp measured right now. NOAA also notes that aurora can often be observed hundreds of kilometres equatorward of the oval's edge, so a bright display can show low on the northern horizon one Kp level earlier.

3Kp forecast for the next 3 days

Fri 9 Oct6.00G2peak 18-21 UTC
Sat 10 Oct4.00below G1peak 00-03 UTC
Sun 11 Oct5.67G2peak 03-06 UTC
Kp forecast in 3-hour slots for the next 3 days, times in UTC
UTCFri 9 OctSat 10 OctSun 11 OctMon 12 Oct
00-034.004.67 G13.00
03-063.675.67 G2
06-093.004.33
09-123.003.00
12-154.67 G11.672.67
15-185.00 G12.332.33
18-216.00 G22.672.00
21-005.67 G22.672.67

Data: NOAA SWPC. Slots before now are NOAA estimates, the rest are predicted values.

4When the sky over Murmansk is dark enough

The aurora needs a dark sky as much as it needs Kp, and darkness is a matter of latitude and date. Fully dark nights in Murmansk (sun 18° below the horizon) run from 15 September to 27 March. From 13 April to 29 August the sky never gets darker than nautical twilight, so only a strong display shows, low on the horizon. The polar night lasts from 2 December to 10 January, 40 days with the sun below the horizon all day, when the aurora can show in the afternoon. The midnight sun lasts from 21 May to 21 July, 62 days. Dates are an own calculation from the sun's declination for the latitude of Murmansk, with the US Naval Observatory definitions of twilight, and can be a day off at the edges. Clouds and moonlight are the other half of the question: the home page shows the moon phase for each of the next 27 days.

5Why Russia for the northern lights

Murmansk is the largest city north of the Arctic Circle and sits under the oval, with the Teriberka coast on the Barents Sea as the classic viewing spot. Entry rules for many visitors have changed in recent years, so the page keeps to the data and leaves planning to the reader.

All places in Russia with their odds tonight.

6Murmansk on the Kp scale

Murmansk is the only place in Russia on this site. The Locations page ranks all 33 destinations by the Kp they need, from Kp 1 inside the auroral zone to Kp 9 at the edge of NOAA's rule.

7Northern lights tours in Murmansk

No guided aurora tour from Murmansk passes the catalogue filter of 4.3 stars and 20 reviews yet. The aurora probability above does not depend on tours: a dark spot outside the lights of the town is the first thing to find.

Murmansk in numbers for northern lights planning
FactValueSource
Coordinates69.0° N, 33.1° Esite destination list
Geomagnetic latitude64.9° N (WMM2025)NOAA NCEI, own calculation
Kp needed1+NOAA rule of thumb
Fully dark nights15 September to 27 Marchown calculation (Meeus), USNO definitions
Too bright for faint aurora13 April to 29 Augustown calculation (Meeus), USNO definitions
Polar night2 December to 10 January, 40 daysown calculation (Meeus), USNO definitions
Midnight sun21 May to 21 July, 62 daysown calculation (Meeus), USNO definitions
Tours that pass the filternone yet, counted 9 Oct 2026booking catalogue

Source: NOAA NCEI, World Magnetic Model 2025, geomagnetic pole, checked on 9 Oct 2026.

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Frequently asked questions

What Kp index do you need to see the northern lights in Murmansk?

Kp 1 or more. Murmansk sits at 64.9° N geomagnetic latitude, and NOAA's rule of thumb puts the edge of the auroral oval there from Kp 1. A brighter display can show low on the northern horizon one level earlier.

When is the best time to see the northern lights in Murmansk?

Fully dark nights in Murmansk (sun 18° below the horizon) run from 15 September to 27 March. The darkest skies of the month are the 5 nights around the new moon. The home page shows the moon for each of the next 27 days.

Can you see the northern lights in Murmansk in summer?

From 13 April to 29 August the sky never gets darker than nautical twilight, so only a strong display shows, low on the horizon.

How many northern lights tours are there in Murmansk?

None in the catalogue passes the filter of 4.3 stars and 20 reviews yet, so this page shows the probability and the Kp needed for Murmansk without tours.

How does Murmansk compare with other northern lights destinations?

Murmansk is the only place in Russia on this site and needs Kp 1 or more. The Locations page ranks all 33 destinations by the Kp they need, from Kp 1 inside the auroral zone to Kp 9 at the edge of NOAA's rule.

Why does the Murmansk aurora probability on this page change?

It comes from NOAA's OVATION model, a forecast for the next 30 to 90 minutes, which this site re-reads at most every 15 minutes. The Kp needed, 1, does not change: it is geography.

Sources (4)

Sources

Written and maintained by the Kp Forecast editorial team. Independent site, not a space weather agency. Data: NOAA SWPC.